Why is it hard to impose sanctions on Russia?

    Why is it hard to impose sanctions on Russia? 

We always wonder why Trump hesitates to impose sanctions against Russia. The reason for that is extremely complicated. We know that the Russian government has large-scale nuclear weapons that they use as blackmail tools. That is an easy explanation. There is also another problem with Russia, and that problem is China. China is the biggest producer of rare earth metals. In the world. Even if the USA is one of the most powerful and advanced countries in the world. That country is bound in the international, global-scale raw material network. 

And that thing puts the brakes on the U.S. government. The USA has been the most advanced microchip maker on this planet. But the problem is that. This country requires many strategic metals and minerals that are used to make microchips and other technical equipment. This means that if China does not deliver those minerals, the USA’s ability to produce microchips decreases. Another problem is things like oil. Many oil producers in the Middle East are BRICS countries. Those countries want to see Putin as their ally. The reason for that is that those nations are non-democratic, and the activist movement wants to limit weapon sales to those countries. 

Those people know that Putin is not as sharp as Western actors who use those weapons. And Putin can sell things like nuclear weapons technology to those countries whose main source of income is minerals, and especially the oil and gas industry. The U.S military requires oil and gas for its global operations. The nuclear bomber can operate on a global scale using airborne refueling. But the support operators.  Like special forces teams. Need petroleum for their equipment, in case the nuclear bomber must make an emergency landing. Those operators also require a base in the Middle East where they can operate. In those situations. 

Another problem is that Putin thinks that he can try to buy politicians and other people to support his propaganda. People know. That Putin and his regime are willing to make sacrifices to stay in control.  The fact is that those sacrifices don’t touch Putin’s nomenclature. And that is the thing that is a big problem. Another thing is that nobody knows how big a sacrifice Putin is willing to make. Putin is the man who is in command. But he is not the entire regime. There are people in Russia who support his policy. That means changing the leader might not mean that war ends or anything changes in Russia. 

There is a certain cycle. When we think about the freedoms in the Soviet Union and Russia. There are always thaws when new, young leaders take their position. But when leaders turn old. The secret police will start to tighten its grip on society. That means arresting and sending to the GULAG. When the leaders change, the people who served those leaders turn into criminals. In one night. After Stalin’s death, his loyal servants like Beriya and many other people went to prison and were executed. That was the second purge. Those purges followed all other soviet leaders. And they still continued. The idea is that people who served the old regime are useless. And the new leader collects a new regime around him. 

The thing is that the secret police controls the entire society in Russia. If leaders are not pleasing the secret police organization. That person faces a heart attack. As long as the secret police exists, there cannot be big changes in the Russian government. The secret police surrounds all Russian leaders as it surrounded Stalin, Lenin, and the Tsar. That organization is like a state in a state. And those people don’t hesitate to use violence. It is almost certain that the secret police killed the ex. Chairman of the KGB, Yuri Andropov. because the leader of the Communist Party, or literally the General Secretary of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union, wanted to limit the secret police’s power. The KGB probably used salt injection for that case because Andropov’s kidneys were damaged, and that caused death. 

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_Security_Service

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/General_Secretary_of_the_Communist_Party_of_the_Soviet_Union

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nomenclature

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yuri_Andropov

Why do we research history?

 

 Why do we research history?

We should learn from things that were made in past. 

Why do we research history? History is a series of things that happened in the past. Those things that are happened in history can use to make models for the future. Research of history is the thing. That purpose is to find the things that will happen in the future. The key question in the history research is to find answers for the questions like "what made something happen"? 

What mistakes were made in cases that are under the research? And what did people learn about those cases? Another thing is that that the purpose of the research of history is to find the answer to the question "what should we do in similar cases"? What went wrong? And what went right? 

When we are thinking about questions like "which side had better generals Confederate or Union side in the United States civil war?". We must realize that the thing that fights is the entirety. Even the best generals in the world cannot win battles alone. In those cases also henchmen are playing roles. If the henchmen don't have the equipment, will, or skills to use weapons. The battle is lost. 

When we are thinking questions "what should we do" in those cases when something has happened. We must remember that when we are looking at history. We might know all answers. We might think that the King of Sweden Charles XII of Sweden. Should not advance to Poltava, where he faced Peter the Great army. 

But the King of Sweden didn't have the same knowledge that we have today. Today we can go to the library and find history books that are telling about the history of Sweden. And there are all answers. But Charles XII acted by using the information that he had. And that was the mistake. 

When we are looking at history we are easy to justify people. Those people made mistakes. And we would be different. And at this point, I must say one thing. In history, people acted by using the information that they had. They lived in different types of society. When they made their decisions they cannot look at results from the library. 

Today history repeats itself. We are thinking that joining the common currency of the European Union Euro was a mistake. The fact is that the Euro planned to be the virtual currency. Which purpose was to help to compile prices. But it turned to real currency. When countries joined the Euro nobody criticized that thing. There was the biggest boom in the history of Europe.

And people wanted to join that boom. But they forgot that even the biggest and strongest economies will face bear markets. So when the bear markets begin that kind of thing will cause things like bankruptcies and unemployment. What do we learn about Euro? When we are middle of the booms we can join everything. But when the boom is over. We still are in the system. 

We can of course, always step out from Euro. That kind of signal would please Russian leaders very much. When we joined Euro nobody said anything against that decision. But now Euro is facing criticism. And of course, we are independent nations who can always start to think about their national interest. We all can step out from Euro immediately, and maybe we are facing a new bull market. But then sooner or later our economy will face a bear market. 

And in that case, we can search for friends. Of course, we can always let those loans that are taken from the EU without paying and then ask for more loans. We have the right to do that thing. But when we are asking for money. There should be somebody willing to offer that money to us. The thing is that when we are looking at history the best wisdom is the hindsight is the best wisdom. 

Now, today we can say wisely. We should not ever join Euro. We made a big mistake wise men say. But we always make mistakes. Only people who are not making anything are not making mistakes. And that is the fact. When we joined Euro nobody saw anything negative about that thing. Or those people said nothing against that thing. Where were the wise men when those political leaders made that decision?

Why did they keep their mouth shut? Why didn't they offer their advice when the nation joined Euro? Now the media is full of advisors who are telling that the Euro was the mistake? 

Today we can say that Euro should remain as the virtual currency. But people made the decision. By using information that was in use at that time. It's too late to cry. We are in Euro and that's it. And then we can make new decisions. 

Technology is advancing. And that brings new challenges and opportunities. 

Sometimes I have thought about what kind of decisions the King of Sweden Charles XII would make if that person had recon satellites? What if he would get confirmed information of his enemies?

At this point, I must say that we should not stare at history too much. Things like artificial intelligence are making it possible to return Euro to virtual currency or even delete that currency. The AI-based solutions offer possible to show the prices in multiple currencies. The modern internet has more capacity than some year 2000 version. And that thing makes it possible to make many things that were impossible in the year 1999. 

And if somebody is willing to pay with some other currency there is enough to put the bank card in the payment system. Then the system would change the price to the currency. That is in use in the country where the bank card is offered. The that we are living in the new era of history. And that era is full of threats and possibilities. Things like quantum computers would revolutionize data processing. And that is the thing that we should benefit more from in our life. Data processing and the internet are tools that began the revolution in the world. And that revolution continues today.

But when we are making decisions we should understand that they all have effects. We cannot make decisions undone. The decisions are made by using data. That was in use at that time.  And that's it. We cannot retake time and make them undone. But maybe we can learn something from history. And maybe, we should listen to more people when we are making some decisions in tomorrow world. And then we must say that somebody will pay the price. When some person gets something. That affects everything. 

https://thebrightchronicle.blogspot.com/

Can machines predict the future?

  

 Can machines predict the future? 

In the beginning, I must say that the world is changing. The great mathematicians like Ludwig Boltzmann (1844-1906) had not had quantum computers. 

And maybe quantum computers are allowing us to create the calculations that are making it possible to predict the behavior of human society. But there is the possibility that those systems could predict the behavior of a single person. 

Can we predict the future of material?

When we are thinking about the shape of the universe and material. The behavior of material should follow a certain formula. Making predictions of the things that are going to happen. Seem the easiest thing in the world. We should know the trajectories of the particles and objects very well. The problem is that the universe is full of wildcards like supernovas and other things like gravitational waves that might have a bigger influence than nobody predicted. 

If we are thinking about things like electrons. Those are monopolar particles but they can connect in one entirety by using quantum gravitation. Those quanta gravitational connections might be extremely weak. And the gravitational waves can cause that the electron structure will blow away. There is also another way to connect electrons with other electrons than quantum gravitation. And that thing might be even more sensitive. 

The electron is a particle that has multiple poles. And if two electrons would position that the main pulling effect of the poles are between the poles of another electron that thing can make it possible to create electron chains. But if something pushes that object that causes that the poles of electrons are pointing to each other. That causes that electrons would start to repel each other. 

The answer to the questions is why we cannot predict the movements of the particles. Is that we cannot predict supernovas. And other highly energetic reactions like impacts of black holes. The missing parts of the universe. Are making it impossible to predict. What would be the end of the Universe? Those missing parts are dark matter and actually, we don't know even how many black holes are in the universe. 

There is the possibility that in the black holes is a large mass of material of the universe. The fact is that the only known common phenomenon between dark and visible material is a black hole. Theoretically is possible that dark matter forms a black hole. Suddenly in the middle of some solar system. But nobody has seen dark matter yet and that is the hypothesis. 

xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

Can AI predict the future?

The idea of the mathematical method. For predicting how gas is moving in certain conditions created Ludwig Boltzmann. His formulas are introducing very well how the large gas masses are behaving. But the problem is to calculate the position of the single gas atom in the space. Calculations are made by using the Boltzmann constant gives more accurate answers when the gas mass is higher. 

The thing is that quantum computers are making thermodynamical calculations more accurate. So maybe we can try to calculate the position of a single gas molecule very accurately by using quantum computers. 

So somebody introduced an idea that maybe those calculations are made for thermodynamics. Can benefit from predicting the future of society. The problem in society is the human effect. But humans can also be thought of as atoms and particles. Predicting the behavior of one person is not possible. But predicting the behavior of great entirety is possible. 

The ability to predict the future is one of the most interesting things in the world. Theoretically, a thing called "Psychohistory" which introduced in the fictional novel series "The Foundation" by Isac Asimov. Is possible to make. 

Artificial intelligence can find all data that predicted some upheavals in history. Then the artificial intelligence can search the similar markings in the environment. And that thing can give warning that something will happen again. 

So could we deny something bad happening again? The thing is that we can analyze the society that made something happen. We can search for things that made people support leaders and try to remove or replace that thing from society. 

xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

Black swans and wild cards are making predictions of the future difficult. 

But if we want to create predictions of the things that are happening to human civilization. We are facing too many wild cards and black swans. 

Black Swans are the effects that happen only once and they have a great influence on the entirety. Nassim Nicholas Taleb introduced that term. And that term Blac Swan means extremely extraordinary but still existing possibility. And one of the best examples of that kind of effect was the 9.11.2001 terror attack. That single thing caused effects that still influence global politics. 

Another thing is wild cards. The most effective wild card is the internet. Things like social media and other things are not predicted things. The internet is like the string where is hanging all the time new services and other kinds of things. So the internet offers the term "wild wire". It's like the wire that connects multiple things. 

The internet is the instrument that makes it possible to create new services and new systems even without budgets. Computer program codes and technical manuals are easy to find if a person knows where to look for them. At this moment nobody controls the development of Artificial intelligence. 

So fast that nobody can imagine or respond to that thing. The information is free on the Internet. That means the development of new technology is free. And R&D (Research and Development) precesses are turning self-controlled. The computers are cheap and every flat has an internet connection. So everybody can make what they want on the Internet. 

https://thoughtsaboutsuperpositions.blogspot.com/

 

The ancient Vimanas: could some ancient civilization fly?

Picture I

Kimmo Huosionmaa

When we are talking about ancient Vimanas, we must remember one thing, the stories of flying Vimanas might be of Indian origin, but they might come from the 19th. the century or later. So the idea might be "just" build an airship, what could have little bit different form, than Zeppelins. But if we think about the things, that Vimanas might be only the equipment of power, we might imagine that they were actually castles, where the lowest part was open, and if the Vimana were filled with methane, and somebody will drop the candle in the space below Vimana, the explosion will be very powerful, and thermobaric explosion would exterminate everything around this thing.

Actually, Vimanas could not be very big, and maybe the user could stand on the top of it, and when the lowest part, what is made by using weak material would have the stored gas in it will explode, the results might be horrible. The weak part of the structure helps to focus the explosion, and the person, who stands on the top of it would survive.

There are persons, who claim that Vimanas were some kind of spaceships, what was came from other solar systems. The NASA has taken an idea to build the next generation interplanetary or interstellar spacecraft, what would send to an extremely long journey. Also, there is introduced an idea that in the distant future, the giant spaceships will send to some other planet and those fictional spaceships will operate same time as the spacecraft and the base on the Jupiter and Saturn and other planets.

So if we want to write a little bit more about this theory, we might think, that maybe Stanislaw Lem's book Invincible the spacecraft would look like Vimana. Inside the hollow structure would be a nuclear reactor, what would make warm or heat the air inside the chamber inside this ship. So this spacecraft would operate like some giant heat air balloon, and of course, also the ion motors, or electromagnetic accelerators or blowers can be used to rise the Vimana from the ground. 

Then the horizontal motors would allow that craft travel in the Earth atmosphere. Those motors could have propellers for that kind of transfer to some other location. And when the Vimana will fly at space, that spacecraft would operate with normal interstellar motors, what would use antimatter or some other things. That kind of spacecraft will may come in the construction somewhere in a distant future. But now we might not have money to make this thing true.

Picture I

https://www.look4ward.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/vimanassuth5.jpg

Could computer someday predict future?

Kimmo Huosionmaa

In Isaac Asimov's book, "the Foundation" is the fictional or hypothetical thing, known as "psychohistory" This thing s actually the way to predict the behave of billions of humans by using similar mathematical formulas, what are used to calculate the movements of the giant gas masses. The idea of psychohistory would be that those computers would collect all data, about what has been happened in history, and then use that data to predict the future. In those predictions is used similar software what is used in astronomy and meteorology for predict the large mass of gas.

Mathematical formulas, what is used in this action would be given the predictions with the large mass of humans. The reason for that is the single individual would have too many transformers, and that makes single persons or individuals very hard to predict. When we are thinking of clouds, we cannot predict the place of single waterdrop, but meteorological computer programs can predict quite well the place of the cloud. What bigger is the gas mass, the sharper is the result, what calculations would give about the prediction of the gas mass.

The idea is similar than in the rivers. We have hard to predict the place of the individual water molecule, but the prediction of the water line, what goes in the river is quite easy. Same way is easy to predict the route of water if the dam would collapse. When we are transferring this thing to sociology, we must think the ants. It's very hard to know, what single individual Ant would do next, but when we see the Ant group, what is looking for food for their group, we can predict quite good, how those bugs would act.

This is the idea of psychohistory. Individual human prediction is hard to predict, but the large groups of humans can predict quite easy because controlling large groups is very hard. When large groups of people would be released the stopping and controlling those groups is hard. But the predictions about their behavior or direction, where that group is going is very easy. And this thing has caused the thoughts, that there are plans to make that kind of experiments.

Here we must say, that this kind of systems would give sharper predictions for the long time period than the short period. Here we are talking about the thing, that the common prediction can be sharp, but then that thing disappears in the jungle of single cases. This thing is like a highway. We don't know every turn of the road, but we know where the road is going. This is the thing in that kind of attempt to predict the future. Using computers make possible to collect and handle multiple variables, and compile them with together.

Nanomachines and the visions about them

Picture I

https://travellingintimeandspace.wordpress.com/

Kimmo Huosionmaa

Nanotechnology and its solutions can make possible to create the liquid robot, what can hide inside the human body, and when those extremely small robots get the order. They can come to the skin for protecting that individual. Those robots can have the same size as droplets, and they could observe the function in the nervous system. So they could communicate with brains without any microchips and those systems could be real in the decade.


When we are thinking about the shape of that machine, those little robots can replace the immune system in some cases, but in theory, that thing can be the key to the new kind of bulletproof vests, where the nanotechnology would come out of the body when the person, when the person is under the attack, and because those active nanomachines could give the counterpunch, when something hits them, would only the little layer of those nanomachines make entire person bulletproof. And they can also protect a person from dropping stones and other dangers.


The nanorobots and intelligent very small size sensors would make possible to communicate with that liquid shape machine. And control it by using only brains. Those machines might have various sensors, and they would communicate together. Each one silicon droplet is actually an independent robot, and they might have only one sensor in each one. Those sensors allow the group of those machines to smell the neurotransmitters and electric functions, and in theory, that kind of machines can communicate interactively with the nervous system, what makes those small robots extremely fascinating.


They can act as the giant macrophages, and keep person clean from the bacteria and viruses. And in the most notorious imaginations, those robots could make the thing, what looks like some tongue of gecko, and that could defend the person against any attacker. This is only the visions, what makes nanotechnology so fascinating and terrifying. But maybe in the future, this can be a reality in the everyday life.

Picture I

https://i.pinimg.com/originals/33/74/11/337411eecdd71fcee319bc12c27e6b56.jpg

The gravity energy and its use in power supply

Picture I

http://crisisofdemocracticstates.blogspot.com/p/the-gravity-energy-and-its-use-in-power.html

Kimmo Huosionmaa

We are using gravity energy currently in the form of water power, but when we are thinking about the use of the pure gravitation as an energy supply, there are three possibilities to make that thing real. They might look simple, but there are many technical problems with their practical solutions.


The motive for this kind of operation would be, that the And some of those solutions are extreme unpractical, and they would ever take in use. Those things need so large-scale technology or traveling to other planets, that they are not nowadays technology at all, but in theory, the gravitation engines can give the civilization opportunity to continue it live without their sun after it has been detonated as the supernova.


So this writing is purely hypothetical and its purpose is to think about the technology, what would be used in that kind of power supply. One motive for large-scale projects would be that the central star of the solar system would start to become unstable. And this would make the civilization to build the gravity power. And here are those three ways to use the power of gravitation. Here I'm not going to write about water power, because this writing is meant for hypothetical thinking about the gravity energy.

1. Tunnel thru the planet

There is a possibility to drill the tunnel thru some planet, what have not the liquid nucleus. In that theoretical operation would be used the laser-drill, what allows to make the extremely deep hole.   If the planet would have solid lithosphere and it would have the possibility to drill the tunnel thru the planet, and then install the generator in that structure. The drill would look like the cylinder, and it could land to the surface of that planet, and then it must just begin to use its laser.


After that in this tunnel would be dropped to the particle or particles, what would rotate the juniper and generator. This particle would travel inside this tunnel like Jojo, and it can rotate the generator by using the wire or another way would drop those particles on layers, what would cause the rotating of the generator. This might seem very simple, but there are many practical problems to make that kind of system.

2. Using the heat of dropping particles as an energy

The second one is so unpractical way to use gravity power, that it would be ever take in the real use. The technology is that thru the atmosphere would be dropped the particles, what would be getting heat in the process. Then those particles would drive to the boiler, what creates steam, that would conduct to the turbines.


This way to make gravity power system is very unpractical, and the power, that it can be made is so expensive, that even in theory it would not be used even in small-scale systems. Here we are seen, how in theory we can make something, what would work, but what is so unpractical, that it will make us laugh. There is a version of this kind of system, what would actually be used in some drones.


Those drones would be dropped into the atmosphere of some planet and the propels would start to create the electricity of the drones electric motors. The system would be used to explore the atmospheres of other planets like gas giants and Venus. Drones would not be larger than some toys, but their mission will be collecting the information from the planet's atmosphere. And they might also be used for the reconnaissance missions, where the satellite drops them to hurricanes or near military bases if their mission would be military intelligence.

3. Use the radiation, what is forming near Black Holes as an energy supply

The most fascinating way to use gravity energy will be using the transfer disc of the black holes as the energy supply. Those areas around the supermassive particles in the universe are the brightest thing, what astronomers have seen. And the energy would be collected with normal solar panels. But the problem is, that we have no black holes in our own solar system, and traveling to them is taking an extremely long time. That makes this version of the gravity power also theoretical.


But we could use gravity power if we could make the artificial black hole. The hypothetical gravity power plant would be the system, where the artificial black hole would be set in the ball-shaped chamber. This chamber could be covered with the silicon layer, what gives electricity, and sometimes the gas would be conducted in this chamber. Then it would send the radiation to the system. But if the ball would be damaged, and the black hole will be released to the atmosphere, could that destroy the entire planet, and that's the reason this system would not be tested in the atmosphere of Earth.


There is the possibility, that in someday we could make the electromagnetic black hole, what can be transferred in the spacecraft. The black hole can be forming, that way, there could be accelerators in the spacecraft, and then the support system will start to pump energy to that system by touching it with tongs, what transfers the energy to that hypothetical spacecraft. And then the spacecraft would use this thing as the energy supply. When we are discussing the UFO:s we can think that this kind of energy will be used in some kind of spacecraft. The size of the spacecraft would not be necessary big, and the size of the black hole would be smaller than golf-ball. But if that small black hole will release to the atmosphere, will the results be devastating. And this will make the hypothetical unknown spacecraft dangerous.

Picture I

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/c/c5/M101_hires_STScI-PRC2006-10a.jpg/1280px-M101_hires_STScI-PRC2006-10a.jpg