The route to war can be shorter than we thought.

Energy infrastructure is the key target in hybrid operations. The hybrid operations have two stages. 

1) Cyber and information operations. That thing can tighten the atmosphere. 

2) Sabotage. When somebody harms the physical infrastructure. Like open transformer stations or railways. That can cause losses of life. When somebody uses physical tools to cause harm, that can cause deaths, if the operators are not sharp. 

Those things can cause economic disasters. And economic disasters can cause internal and external pressure. And in a tight situation. It is possible. That somebody puts spark in the powder. 

We live today in the time of strained international relations. That means that the world is apparently at peace. But things like cyber attacks. They're going on all the time. Those cyber attacks mean trolls. Fake news and things like hijacking homepages. Those kinds of things are meant to cheat opponents. Those information operations mean. 

Support for the political movements. That supports some participants’ ideology. We think that this new cold war is the conflict between Russia and NATO. But there are many other participants. Those other participants are China, and many other countries that have their own interests to guard. And the Ukrainian war is only the visible part of the giant game of power. The power of raw materials and technology. 

This allows the winner to control the world. Things. Like rare earth metals are important in the modern microchip industry. The green energy. Or energy that doesn’t need fossil fuels. Let's the people and nations that invest in the petrochemical industry. And natural gas and oil without incoming money. This thing takes a giant income out of the Arab and Putin’s hands. And that is one of the things that we must realise. 

Information operations can spread into hybrid operations. Those hybrid operations involve threats to leading politicians. And one thing that we must understand is that the steps to full-scale global warfare go through the global economic disasters. 

The route to war: 

1) Information operations. Information operations, or psychological operations (INFO-OPS, PSY-OPS), have a purpose. It is to turn the public opinion. To support the operator's own goals. The fact is that those operators can sell their services to political movements. And the back gift can be that the political movement supports those operators’ policy. The information that is used is very emotional. 

2) Information operations spread into hybrid operations. There is always a possibility that, when the physical components are used in operations. Somebody makes miscalculations. And that causes deaths and injuries.

There is a possibility that a jet engine sucks a drone into it. Or the explosive drone kills some people. When its users want to detonate open substations. 

3) Fear or some other things take the trustworthiness from economics. That reflects the economic situation. 

4) Falling economies form internal socio-economic tensions. That causes disorders. 

5) And the rumors and other things turn into a full-scale military escalation. 

Information operations. It can take trust away. From some important economic structures. That means that the information operations. Or faked and propagandistic ways exaggerate the economic problems. Or they cause a situation. That investors escape. Because. They affraid. Of their investments and their personal safety.  That causes a series of bankruptcies. And then the internal disorders cause a situation where full-scale conflicts begin. 

When information operations accelerate, they will turn into hybrid operations. In hybrid operations. It is possible to damage the opponent's infrastructure. 

The purpose of those attacks is to deliver fear. That means those attacks can involve. The use of drones. With explosives against the electric infrastructure. If the atmosphere is full of fear and aggression. Those drone strikes can exacerbate the political and social atmosphere. If the user of those drones is not careful. That can cause deaths. 

And it's a big risk that somebody dies in those operations. Those ultimate hybrid operations can involve assassinations and other violent escalations. Those kind of things causes the requirement. For Counter-Strike. That opens the road. To the full-scale military actions against the opponent. This kind of scenario is frightening. And if the opponent cannot respond with conventional warfare. That causes the use of nuclear weapons.